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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Rotherham United |
67.25% ( 0.14) | 19.8% ( 0.12) | 12.94% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 46.63% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( -1.07) | 46.59% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% ( -1.01) | 68.87% ( 1.02) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.11% ( -0.28) | 12.89% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.69% ( -0.58) | 39.3% ( 0.58) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.53% ( -1.07) | 46.47% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.91% ( -0.84) | 82.08% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.86% Total : 67.25% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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