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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
2 - 0
Stoke

Bartley (39'), Thomas-Asante (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
51.72% (0.508 0.51)25.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.64% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.45 -0.45)55.16% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.37 -0.37)76.4% (0.372 0.37)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)21.36% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.742 -0.74)39.6% (0.744 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.694 -0.69)76.28% (0.69600000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.71%
    Stoke City 22.64%
    Draw 25.63%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Stoke City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm