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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
| 51.72% ( | 25.63% ( | 22.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% ( | 76.4% ( |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( | 54.34% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( | 39.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.64% |