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Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Luton Town

Stoke
2 - 0
Luton

Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
Brown (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Osho (28'), Lockyer (43'), Clark (52'), Morris (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Luton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Luton Town

Both teams will fight hard to return to winning ways in Staffordshire on Saturday, but we struggle to pick a winner and anticipate the visiting Hatters doing enough to deny Neil a first win and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
39.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 28.22%32.56%
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25%79.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.47%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61%70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.22%
    Luton Town 32.56%
    Draw 28.21%
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Luton

Stoke City
31.8%
Draw
26.1%
Luton Town
42.0%
88
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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