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Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Luton Town

Stoke
2 - 0
Luton

Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Luton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
39.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)28.22%32.56%
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25%79.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.47%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61%70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.22%
    Luton Town 32.56%
    Draw 28.21%
Stoke CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Luton

Stoke City
31.8%
Draw
26.1%
Luton Town
42.0%
88
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm