Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.