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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
61.63% ( 0.03) | 22.54% ( 0.01) | 15.83% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.1) | 52.07% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.08) | 73.8% ( 0.08) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% ( -0.02) | 16.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% ( -0.04) | 46.12% ( 0.04) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.41% ( -0.11) | 45.59% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.6% ( -0.09) | 81.4% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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