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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Luton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Berry (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindsay (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
61.63% (0.032000000000004 0.03)22.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.83% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)52.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.081 -0.08)73.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.44% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.12% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (-0.11 -0.11)45.59% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)81.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.62%
    Rotherham United 15.83%
    Draw 22.53%
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Luton vs Rotherham

Luton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0


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