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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Luton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Berry (90')
Doughty (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindsay (1')
Harding (19'), Barlaser (23'), Peltier (47'), Bramall (88'), Eaves (89'), Washington (90+3'), Norton-Cuffy (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Rotherham United

Many will be expecting a subdued atmosphere on Saturday with Luton losing Jones to Southampton, but the announcement that club legend Mick Harford will take charge of the squad has boosted the morale amongst supporters who want to get behind their team at a packed-out Kenilworth Road. Rotherham are travelling down to Bedfordshire following a brilliant win against Sheffield United, but we can see the hosts taking all three points in a convincing manner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
61.63% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 22.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 15.83% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)52.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.081 -0.08)73.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.44% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)46.12% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (-0.11 -0.11)45.59% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)81.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.62%
    Rotherham United 15.83%
    Draw 22.53%
Luton TownDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Luton vs Rotherham

Luton Town
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 7pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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