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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
47.78% ( 0) | 25.85% ( -0) | 26.37% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.95% ( 0.01) | 53.05% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( 0.01) | 74.63% ( -0.01) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( 0) | 22.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( 0.01) | 55.62% ( -0.01) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.92% ( 0) | 35.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.17% ( 0) | 71.83% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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