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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
62.21% ( -1.57) | 21.47% ( 0.41) | 16.32% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% ( 0.36) | 46.9% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.84% ( 0.33) | 69.15% ( -0.34) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% ( -0.37) | 14.51% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.48% ( -0.72) | 42.51% ( 0.72) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% ( 1.75) | 41.84% ( -1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( 1.49) | 78.29% ( -1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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