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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Reading logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Reading

Idah (53')
Hanley (2'), McCallum (31'), Sara (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carroll (83' pen.)
Holmes (58'), N'Diaye (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Norwich
Monday, December 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Reading

Given the recent developments at Carrow Road, this is a difficult match to predict. With Reading able to overtake their hosts with victory in East Anglia, Norwich may be more than satisfied with earning a share of the spoils should the game be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawReading
62.21% (-1.566 -1.57) 21.47% (0.414 0.41) 16.32% (1.152 1.15)
Both teams to score 49.72% (1.288 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (0.358 0.36)46.9% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (0.335 0.33)69.15% (-0.337 -0.34)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.373 -0.37)14.51% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.722 -0.72)42.51% (0.72 0.72)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (1.75 1.75)41.84% (-1.75 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (1.488 1.49)78.29% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 62.2%
    Reading 16.32%
    Draw 21.47%
Norwich CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 11.31% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.412 -0.41)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.248 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.112 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: Norwich vs Reading

Norwich City
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Reading
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Reading
Dowell (30', 64'), Quintilla (78'), Pukki (85')
Aarons (17'), Skipp (42')
Laurent (12')
Richards (25'), Semedo (77')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Olise (14')
Onen (83')
Buendia (11'), Pukki (55' pen.)
Apr 10, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
2-2
Reading
Godfrey (86'), Zimmermann (88')
Meite (30'), Rinomhota (97')
Emiliano Martinez (48'), Baker (62')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-2
Norwich
Dadi Bodvarsson (72')
Meite (27'), Gunter (54')
Pukki (14'), Vrancic (73')
Vrancic (76'), Aarons (81'), Tettey (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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