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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
42.78% (0.171 0.17) 26.61% (-0.156 -0.16) 30.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.602 0.6)53.86% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.505 0.5)75.32% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.94% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.496 0.5)59.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.29900000000001 0.3)32.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.336 0.34)68.75% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.78%
    Norwich City 30.61%
    Draw 26.61%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Norwich City
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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