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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
42.78% (0.171 0.17) 26.61% (-0.156 -0.16) 30.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.602 0.6)53.86% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.505 0.5)75.32% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.94% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.496 0.5)59.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.29900000000001 0.3)32.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.336 0.34)68.75% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.78%
    Norwich City 30.61%
    Draw 26.61%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Norwich City
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford199462725231
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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