Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clark (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Luton Town
53.65% ( -0.04)	26.22% ( 0.02)	20.12% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

-0.02)

59.6% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.02)

79.93% (

0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.03)

22.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.04)

55.89% (

0.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.21% (

0.01)

44.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.24% (

0.01)

80.76% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 53.64%

Luton Town 20.12%

Draw 26.22%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 15% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.64%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.12%