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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
| 51.3% | 25.37% | 23.33% |
| Both teams to score 48.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% | 20.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% | 53.63% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% | 38.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% | 74.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.47% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.33% |