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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
41.72% (-0.864 -0.86) 25.64% (-0.105 -0.11) 32.63% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.749 0.75)49.23% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.67 0.67)71.29% (-0.673 -0.67)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)23.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (-0.142 -0.14)57.42% (0.141 0.14)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (1.005 1.01)28.54% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (1.242 1.24)64.33% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.72%
    Watford 32.63%
    Draw 25.64%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
22.9%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
60.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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