MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 15:16:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
4 - 0
Watford

Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Grimes (9'), Darling (28'), Fulton (60'), Latibeaudiere (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kalu (69'), Bachmann (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Watford

Swansea are severely lacking confidence given their recent form, and even away from home, the Hornets should have enough quality to condemn their hosts to another defeat and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
41.72% (-0.864 -0.86) 25.64% (-0.105 -0.11) 32.63% (0.967 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.749 0.75)49.23% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.67 0.67)71.29% (-0.673 -0.67)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)23.42% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (-0.142 -0.14)57.42% (0.141 0.14)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (1.005 1.01)28.54% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (1.242 1.24)64.33% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.72%
    Watford 32.63%
    Draw 25.64%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
22.9%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
60.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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