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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 36.32% | 30.42% | 33.26% |
| Both teams to score 40.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.55% | 66.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.11% | 84.89% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% | 34.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% | 71.66% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% | 37.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% | 73.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 7.16% 2-1 @ 7.11% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.2% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.93% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.41% | 0-1 @ 12.84% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.82% Total : 33.25% |