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Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Watford

Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')

The Match

Match Report

The Swans move above Brentford into the automatic promotion places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
36.32%30.42%33.26%
Both teams to score 40.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11%84.89%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34%71.66%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.31%
    Watford 33.25%
    Draw 30.41%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 36.31%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.93%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.41%
0-1 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
15.7%
Watford
25.7%
70
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
2-1
Swansea
Welbeck (28'), Pereyra (79')
Pereyra (91')
Surridge (34')
Grimes (93')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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