Stoke City vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.