We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City
With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.