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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Nkounkou (52'), Allsop (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Cardiff City

With both clubs heading into the World Cup on the back of a defeat, we feel avoiding another will be their focus here. With that in mind, expect a competitive share of the spoils to be played out in the Potteries, even if the consequence may be Cardiff dropping into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
51.87% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.77% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.127 -0.13)58.5% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.1 -0.1)79.08% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.012 -0.01)22.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.35% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.177 -0.18)42.38% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.153 -0.15)78.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 51.86%
    Cardiff City 21.77%
    Draw 26.35%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
56.3%
Draw
27.1%
Cardiff City
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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