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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 51.87% ( | 26.36% ( | 21.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% ( | 58.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( | 79.08% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( | 78.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.77% |