Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Tyrese Campbell 11' goal
  • Liam Delap 18' goal
  • goal Ryan Wintle 6'
  • goal Callum Robinson 58'

Stoke City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
West Brom 2 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tyrese Campbell

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Stoke City 51.87% (+0.10)
Draw 26.36% (+0.02)
Cardiff City 21.77% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.54% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.5% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 58.5% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 20.92% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 79.08% (+0.11)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.69% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.65% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.35% (+0.03)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 42.38% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 21.23% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 78.77% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Stoke City 51.86%
Draw 26.35%
Cardiff City 21.77%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 14.26% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.57% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.35%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.77%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tommy Doyle 39' goal
  • Jordan Hugill 43' goal
  • Jordan Hugill 68' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Baker 23'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jacob Brown 9' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 16' goal
  • Steven Fletcher 46' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 62' yellowcard
  • Harry Souttar 64' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 57'
  • goal Rubin Colwill 66'
  • goal Mark Harris 70'
  • goal Kieffer Moore 71'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 89'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 16, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Marlon Pack 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 88'
Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Sean Morrison 25' goal
  • Tommy Smith 62' yellowcard
  • James McClean 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 24'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 66'
  • goal Sean Morrison 76'
  • yellowcard Sheyi Ojo 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Callum Paterson 25' goal
  • Joe Allen 72' goal
  • Nick Powell 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jazz Richards 87'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Bacuna 11' goal
  • Lee Tomlin 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 61'