FA Cup
Jan 8, 2023 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • goal Euan Murray 16' (OG)
  • goal Jacob Brown 43'
  • goal Rollin Menayese 48' (OG)

Hartlepool United vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Stoke City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Hartlepool United 25.02% (+0.87)
Draw 25.13% (+0.52)
Stoke City 49.85% (-1.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.79% (-1.37)
Under 2.5 51.2% (+1.37)
Over 3.5 26.96% (-1.21)
Under 3.5 73.04% (+1.21)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 64.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.22% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.98% (-0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 79.44% (-1.11)
Under 0.5 20.56% (+1.11)
Over 1.5 46.92% (-1.79)
Under 1.5 53.07% (+1.78)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 25.02%
Draw 25.13%
Stoke City 49.84%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.56% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 6.24% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 3.94% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 2.17% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.37% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.24% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.13%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 11.45% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 4.78% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.84%