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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Hartlepool United

Rochdale
1 - 2
Hartlepool

Henderson (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Menayese (39'), Cooke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
47.17% (0.359 0.36)27.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.33% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (-0.131 -0.13)59.73% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)80.03% (0.101 0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.11499999999999 0.11)25.4% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.158 0.16)60.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34% (-0.376 -0.38)39.66% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66% (-0.35 -0.35)76.34% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 47.16%
    Hartlepool United 25.33%
    Draw 27.49%
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Hartlepool

Rochdale
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hartlepool United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
2-1
Hartlepool
Keohane (61'), O'Connell (90+4')
Dooley (83')
Morris (10')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Rochdale
Cullen (64'), Shelton (90+2')
Odusina (15')
Andrews (55')
White (66')
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Hartlepool
0-3
Rochdale

Walton (39')
Donnelly (50'), Cavanagh (63'), Cummins (90')
Cavanagh (57'), Hogan (69')
Aug 3, 2013 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Hartlepool
Hogan (14'), Donnelly (50'), Henderson (58')
Rafferty (38')
Jan 7, 2012 3pm