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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 47.17% ( | 27.5% ( | 25.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.27% ( | 59.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( | 80.03% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( | 39.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% ( | 76.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 25.33% |