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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 47.43% ( | 26.37% ( | 26.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( | 55.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( | 76.42% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( | 23.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( | 57.2% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% ( | 73.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.19% |