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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Harrogate Town

Rochdale
1 - 4
Harrogate

Ball (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawHarrogate Town
47.43% (-0.361 -0.36)26.37% (0.222 0.22)26.19% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (-0.744 -0.74)55.18% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (-0.615 -0.61)76.42% (0.614 0.61)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.486 -0.49)23.27% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.713 -0.71)57.2% (0.713 0.71)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (-0.285 -0.29)36.39% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.288 -0.29)73.17% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 47.43%
    Harrogate Town 26.19%
    Draw 26.37%
RochdaleDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 47.43%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.241 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Harrogate

Rochdale
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Harrogate Town
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
3-3
Harrogate
Clark (18'), Odoh (61'), Campbell (88')
O'Connell (48'), Ball (76')
Pattison (3', 24'), Diamond (47')
Legge (66')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
3-2
Rochdale
Armstrong (5'), Pattison (10'), Burrell (90+1')
Pattison (59')
Newby (15'), Grant (49')
Beesley (43'), Odoh (60')