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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 31.98% | 26.29% | 41.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% | 52.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% | 73.84% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% | 24.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% | 59.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.74% |