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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Mansfield Town

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Mansfield

Hamilton (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (47'), Hawkins (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
19.8% (0.253 0.25)23.41% (0.178 0.18)56.79% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.388 -0.39)49.66% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.347 -0.35)71.68% (0.348 0.35)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.38% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)76.08% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)17.27% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.516 -0.52)47.61% (0.51499999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.8%
    Mansfield Town 56.78%
    Draw 23.41%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.8%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Mansfield

Hartlepool United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mansfield Town
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-2
Hartlepool
Lapslie (51'), Harbottle (59')
Maris (38')
Umerah (62', 89')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Mansfield
Grey (41'), Molyneux (43')
Lapslie (21'), Perch (25')
Lapslie (57'), Perch (73'), Hawkins (90+3')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
3-2
Hartlepool
O'Toole (55'), Bowery (62'), Maris (66')
Law (90+1')
Molyneux (25'), Featherstone (51')
Killip (38'), Byrne (40')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Mansfield
4-0
Hartlepool
Whiteman (19', 76'), Rose (26'), MacDonald (71')
Rose (43')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
Mansfield

McGuire (24')