League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Hamilton 19' goal
  • goal Rhys Oates 47'
  • goal Oliver Hawkins 60'

Hartlepool United vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 2 Hartlepool
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Mansfield 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Will Swan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result

Hartlepool United 19.8% (+0.26)
Draw 23.41% (+0.18)
Mansfield Town 56.79% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.34% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 49.66% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 28.32% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 71.68% (+0.35)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 60.62% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 39.38% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 23.92% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 76.08% (-0.05)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.72% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 17.27% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 52.39% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 47.61% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 19.8%
Draw 23.41%
Mansfield Town 56.78%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 6.34% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 5.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 2.95% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.8% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.41%
Mansfield Town
0-1 @ 11.94% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.78%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT One Call Stadium
  • George Lapslie 51' goal
  • Riley Harbottle 59' goal
  • goal Josh Umerah 62'
  • goal Josh Umerah 89'
League Two Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Joe Grey 41' goal
  • Luke Molyneux 43' goal
  • goal George Lapslie 21'
  • goal James Perch 25'
  • yellowcard George Lapslie 57'
  • yellowcard James Perch 73'
  • yellowcard Oliver Hawkins 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • John-Joe O'Toole 55' goal
  • Jordan Bowery 62' goal
  • George Maris 66' goal
  • Jason Law 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Molyneux 25'
  • yellowcard Ben Killip 38'
  • yellowcard Neil Byrne 40'
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 51'
League Two
Feb 11, 2017 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ben Whiteman 19' goal
  • Danny Rose 26' goal
  • Danny Rose 43' yellowcard
  • Alex MacDonald 71' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 76' goal
League Two
Sep 17, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jamie McGuire 24'
League Two
Apr 2, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Billy Paynter 24' goal
  • Nathan Thomas 25' yellowcard
  • Matthew Bates 73' yellowcard
  • Billy Paynter 85' goal
  • Jake Carroll 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Krystian Pearce 24'
  • yellowcard Lee Collins 25'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 54'
  • goal Colin Daniel 76'
  • yellowcard Ryan Tafazolli 85'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 94'