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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
19.8% ( 0.25) | 23.41% ( 0.18) | 56.79% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( -0.39) | 49.66% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( -0.35) | 71.68% ( 0.35) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% ( 0.05) | 39.38% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% ( 0.05) | 76.08% ( -0.05) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.29) | 17.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -0.52) | 47.61% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.8% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 56.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |