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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 48.72% ( | 27.18% ( | 24.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% ( | 59.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( | 79.83% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( | 24.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( | 59.01% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.75% ( | 77.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.09% |