Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.