Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.