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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Stoke

Wells (33')
Weimann (76'), Semenyo (89'), Pring (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Delap (61'), Bonham (83'), Powell (84'), Campbell (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Stoke City

Given the level of inconsistency which has plagued each side this campaign, this is an extremely difficult match to call. Feel free to accuse us of sitting on the fence, but we can only predict a low-scoring draw, one which would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
35.73% (-1.61 -1.61) 27.84% (-0.183 -0.18) 36.43% (1.791 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.739 0.74)57.65% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.58% (0.581 0.58)78.41% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.631 -0.63)30.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.75 -0.75)66.99% (0.747 0.75)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.513 1.51)30.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (1.772 1.77)66.47% (-1.774 -1.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 35.72%
    Stoke City 36.42%
    Draw 27.83%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.245 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
60.4%
Draw
29.2%
Stoke City
10.4%
48
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Jul 15, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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