Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke0 - 1Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Stoke
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Stoke City 0-2 Burnley
Having had a day longer of preparation than the leaders, Stoke will fancy their chances of pulling off the upset. However, it is impossible to back against the Clarets right now, leaving us to predict another win and clean sheet for Kompany's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
36.24% ( -0.52) | 26.35% ( -0.21) | 37.41% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
