Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Josh Cullen 61'

Stoke City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Rotherham 2 - 2 Stoke
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tyrese Campbell

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2022 8.00pm
Burnley 3 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result

Stoke City 36.24% (-0.53)
Draw 26.35% (-0.22)
Burnley 37.41% (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.04% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.32% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 51.68% (-0.89)
Over 3.5 26.54% (+0.78)
Under 3.5 73.46% (-0.77)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 72.49% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 27.5% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 36.99% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.01% (-0.15)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 73.17% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 26.83% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 37.87% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 62.13% (-1.11)

Score analysis

Stoke City 36.24%
Draw 26.35%
Burnley 37.41%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1% (-94.90)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
Burnley
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 8.24% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.39% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.8% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.33% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.19% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 37.41%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Connor Roberts 54' goal
  • goal Harry Clarke 87'
Premier League
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Badou Ndiaye 11' goal
  • Erik Pieters 85' yellowcard
  • Badou Ndiaye 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 25'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 62'
Premier League
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 89' goal
Premier League
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stephen Ward 24' yellowcard
  • Joey Barton 30' yellowcard
  • George Boyd 58' goal
  • George Boyd 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 76'
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 88'
Premier League
Dec 3, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonathan Walters 20' goal
  • Marc Muniesa 35' goal
  • Marc Muniesa 54' yellowcard
  • Gianelli Imbula 70' yellowcard
  • Mame Biram Diouf 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 14'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 88'
Premier League
May 16, 2015 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Boyd 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 25'
  • yellowcard Steven N'Zonzi 49'