Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 0
Birmingham

Zaroury (1'), Roberts (44'), Tella (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 3-2 Reading
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Birmingham City
69.71% ( 0.44)	19.06% ( -0.05)	11.23% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 43.75% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-0.78)

47.56% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-0.72)

69.77% (

0.72)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.52% (

-0.1)

12.48% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.55% (

-0.21)

38.45% (

0.22)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.99% (

-1.2)

50.01% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.34% (

-0.84)

84.66% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Burnley 69.7%

Birmingham City 11.23%

Draw 19.06%

Burnley	Draw	Birmingham City
2-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 69.7%	1-1 @ 9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.06%	0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 11.23%