Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watmore (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 0-3 Burnley
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Middlesbrough
58.88% ( -0.18)	22.08% ( 0.3)	19.04% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.07% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.87% (

-1.48)

45.13% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

-1.43)

67.48% (

1.43)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

-0.55)

14.98% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.57% (

-1.06)

43.43% (

1.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42% (

-0.98)

37.58% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64% (

-0.98)

74.36% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Burnley 58.87%

Middlesbrough 19.04%

Draw 22.08%

Burnley	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.87%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.04%