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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 36.66% ( | 27.08% | 36.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( | 75.99% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( | 28.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( | 64.51% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( | 28.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( | 64.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.26% |