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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Harrogate Town

Hartlepool
3 - 3
Harrogate

Umerah (45'), Sylla (46'), Shelton (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pattison (4'), Folarin (49'), Thomson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Mansfield
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
36.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.71%36.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36%63.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.58%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 36.61%
    Harrogate Town 36.67%
    Draw 26.7%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Harrogate

Hartlepool United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Harrogate Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Hartlepool
3-1
Harrogate
Cooke (41'), Umerah (45+4' pen., 71')
Missilou (19')
Coley (73')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
2-1
Hartlepool
Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
Umerah (85')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')