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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
30.48% ( -0.15) | 26.02% ( -0.07) | 43.5% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( 0.24) | 51.55% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( 0.2) | 73.34% ( -0.21) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% ( 0.02) | 31.16% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.51% ( 0.02) | 67.49% ( -0.02) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.44% ( 0.21) | 23.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.38% ( 0.3) | 57.62% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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