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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
30.48% (-0.147 -0.15)26.02% (-0.073 -0.07)43.5% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.238 0.24)51.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.205 0.2)73.34% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.209 0.21)23.56% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.302 0.3)57.62% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.48%
    Grimsby Town 43.5%
    Draw 26.01%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.5%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
 Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0


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