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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Burrell (31'), Ramsay (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Green (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

With just one clean sheet from the last five matches apiece for either team heading into the clash, we expect goals at both ends here. That said, we can also see the sides cancelling each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
30.48% (-0.147 -0.15) 26.02% (-0.073 -0.07) 43.5% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.238 0.24)51.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.205 0.2)73.34% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.209 0.21)23.56% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.302 0.3)57.62% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.48%
    Grimsby Town 43.5%
    Draw 26.01%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.5%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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