Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
33.69% ( 0.18) | 27.79% ( 0.02) | 38.52% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 48.23% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.38% ( -0.06) | 57.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.61% ( -0.05) | 78.39% ( 0.05) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.09) | 32.04% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 0.1) | 68.51% ( -0.1) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( -0.15) | 29.02% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.07% ( -0.19) | 64.92% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 79 | 37 | 42 | 73 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 40 | 35 | 71 |
3 | Wrexham | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 70 |
4 | MK Dons | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 55 | 12 | 65 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 64 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 59 |
8 | Gillingham | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 59 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 58 |
10 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 54 |
14 | Notts County | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 76 | 74 | 2 | 51 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 50 |
17 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 49 |
19 | Salford City | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 47 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 34 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 71 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
> League Two Full Table |