League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ethan Chislett 60' goal

AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Clifton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 35.17% (+1.57)
Draw 27.34% (+0.25)
Grimsby Town 37.5% (-1.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.23% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 55.77% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 23.1% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 76.9% (+0.66)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 69.85% (+0.62)
Under 0.5 30.16% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 33.7% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 66.3% (-0.72)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.27% (-1.42)
Under 0.5 28.73% (+1.43)
Over 1.5 35.44% (-1.80)
Under 1.5 64.56% (+1.81)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
Draw 27.34%
Grimsby Town 37.49%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.38% (+0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.66% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%