MX23RW : Friday, December 13 03:18:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Chislett (60')
Biler (34'), Kalambayi (49'), Pell (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simmonds (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are bound to win in League Two sooner rather than later, and they showed their prowess on the road once again last weekend by stunning Cambridge in the FA Cup. Wimbledon have been on a strong run recently, but we have a sneaky feeling their unbeaten run may be coming to an end on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
35.17% (1.561 1.56) 27.34% (0.25 0.25) 37.5% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.785 -0.79)55.77% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.644 -0.64)76.9% (0.655 0.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.617 0.62)30.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.729 0.73)66.3% (-0.72 -0.72)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.413 -1.41)28.73% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.798 -1.8)64.56% (1.808 1.81)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
    Grimsby Town 37.49%
    Draw 27.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Grimsby Town
26.7%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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