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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Chislett (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
35.17% (1.561 1.56)27.34% (0.25 0.25)37.5% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.785 -0.79)55.77% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.644 -0.64)76.9% (0.655 0.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.617 0.62)30.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.729 0.73)66.3% (-0.72 -0.72)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.413 -1.41)28.73% (1.422 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-1.798 -1.8)64.56% (1.808 1.81)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.16%
    Grimsby Town 37.49%
    Draw 27.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Grimsby Town
26.7%
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