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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.17% ( 1.56) | 27.34% ( 0.25) | 37.5% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.23% ( -0.79) | 55.77% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.1% ( -0.64) | 76.9% ( 0.66) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 0.62) | 30.16% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% ( 0.73) | 66.3% ( -0.72) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -1.41) | 28.73% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( -1.8) | 64.56% ( 1.81) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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