FA Cup
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Armando Dobra 44'
  • goal Jeff King 76'

AFC Wimbledon vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Chesterfield

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 31.76% (-0.05)
Draw 25.72% (+0.01)
Chesterfield 42.52% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.17% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.82% (+0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.41% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 34.6% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.4% (+0.06)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.78% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.22% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 31.76%
Draw 25.71%
Chesterfield 42.52%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 8.38% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 31.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 9.98% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.52%

Head to Head

League One
Jan 21, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jon Nolan 29' yellowcard
  • Sam Hird 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darius Charles 66'
  • yellowcard George Francomb 92'
League One
Sep 3, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Robinson 53' goal
  • Tom Elliott 78' yellowcard
  • Dominic Poleon 91' goal
  • goal Darius Charles 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ched Evans 95'
League Two
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Francomb 50' goal
  • George Francomb 52' yellowcard
  • Aaron Morris 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Doyle 41'
  • goal Oliver Banks 55'
League Two
Sep 14, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gary Roberts 30' goal
  • Sam Hird 53' goal
  • Armand Gnanduillet 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Bennett 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Pell 95'
League Two
Feb 9, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Lester 34' yellowcard
  • Armand Gnanduillet 59' goal
  • James O'Shea 73' yellowcard
  • Jack Lester 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jim Fenlon 38'
  • yellowcard Peter Sweeney 57'
  • yellowcard Toby Ajala 78'
League Two
Aug 18, 2012 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Midson 35' goal
  • Pim Balkestein 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Togwell 36'
  • yellowcard Craig Westcarr 90'