Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.29% ( 0.55) | 21.24% ( 0.4) | 58.46% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% ( -1.06) | 39.52% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.12% ( -1.11) | 61.87% ( 1.11) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( -0.08) | 33.04% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% ( -0.08) | 69.63% ( 0.08) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% ( -0.62) | 13.27% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.93% ( -1.26) | 40.06% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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