Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
| 29.84% | 28.41% | 41.75% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% | 60.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% | 80.78% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% | 36.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% | 73.24% |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% | 28.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.63% Total : 41.74% |