Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
38.98% | 27.29% | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 49.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.28% | 55.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% | 76.86% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% | 27.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% | 31.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% | 67.37% |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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