Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 38.98% | 27.29% | 33.73% |
| Both teams to score 49.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.28% | 55.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% | 76.86% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% | 63.44% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% | 31.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% | 67.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.91% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.73% |