Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 35.76% | 27.78% | 36.46% |
| Both teams to score 48.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% | 57.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% | 78.24% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% | 66.84% |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.46% |