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FA Cup

Weymouth
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Weymouth
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Rose (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Assal (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Weymouth and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
27.6% (0.038 0.04)24.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.42% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (0.015999999999998 0.02)70.55% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.65% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.06% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 27.6%
    AFC Wimbledon 47.49%
    Draw 24.9%
WeymouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.49%

How you voted: Weymouth vs AFC Wimbledon

Weymouth
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
AFC Wimbledon
75.0%
8