Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.