Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Havant & Waterlooville

Weymouth
0 - 2
Havant & W'ville

FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (78'), Wright (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawHavant & Waterlooville
27.65% (2.989 2.99)25.32% (1.16 1.16)47.03% (-4.147 -4.15)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-1.028 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (-2.614 -2.61)50.12% (2.617 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (-2.373 -2.37)72.09% (2.377 2.38)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (1.022 1.02)32.5% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (1.131 1.13)69.03% (-1.128 -1.13)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-2.753 -2.75)21.32% (2.756 2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-4.445 -4.45)54.28% (4.447 4.45)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 27.65%
    Havant & Waterlooville 47.03%
    Draw 25.31%
WeymouthDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.986 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.505 0.51)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.659 0.66)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.58 0.58)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.706 0.71)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.547 -0.55)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.621 -0.62)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.689 -0.69)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.03%