Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.