National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium
Weymouth

Eastbourne
5 - 1
Weymouth

Hutchinson (38'), Hammond (40'), Remy (45+2'), Gravata (65'), Woollard Innocent (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 2-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWeymouth
52.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)22.85%24.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78%45.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.41% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (0.012 0.01)66.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 52.49%
    Weymouth 24.65%
    Draw 22.85%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWeymouth
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.49%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 24.65%