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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Leyton Orient

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Assal (19'), Pell (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawLeyton Orient
33.61% (0.392 0.39)27.37% (0.373 0.37)39.02% (-0.763 -0.76)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (-1.381 -1.38)56.06% (1.383 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (-1.132 -1.13)77.14% (1.134 1.13)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)31.31% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.509 -0.51)67.66% (0.512 0.51)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (-1.078 -1.08)27.98% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (-1.396 -1.4)63.62% (1.399 1.4)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 33.61%
    Leyton Orient 39.01%
    Draw 27.37%
AFC WimbledonDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.61%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.457 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.01%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient

AFC Wimbledon
38.5%
Draw
11.5%
Leyton Orient
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Oct 8, 2019 7.30pm
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
Leyton Orient
Pigott (3' pen.), Folivi (49'), Reilly (79')
Reilly (75')

Ogie (36'), Gorman (84')
Nov 28, 2015 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Simpson (10')
Mvoto (12'), Marquis (15'), Cisak (95')
Marquis (58')
Akinfenwa (80')
Reeves (17'), Fuller (39'), Elliott (89')