Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Tomkins (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

March (63')

The Match

Match Report

James Tomkins cancels out an opener from Solly March as Crystal Palace hold Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-1 draw in the M23 derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
22.53% ( -0)	23.08%	54.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

0.01)

45% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65% (

0.01)

67.35% (

-0)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98% (

34.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

70.71% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

0.01)

16.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

0.01)

46.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 22.53%

Brighton & Hove Albion 54.38%

Draw 23.08%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.53%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.38%