Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 4
Brighton

Gray (90+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mitoma (14'), Ferguson (51'), March (54'), Gross (57')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion climb up to eighth spot in the Premier League table after thrashing relegation-threatened Everton 4-1 at Goodison Park on Tuesday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
29.93% ( 0.94)	24.67% ( -0.3)	45.4% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

1.81)

46.04% (

-1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66% (

1.7)

68.34% (

-1.7)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

1.58)

28.74% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

1.93)

64.58% (

-1.93)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.47)

20.36% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23% (

0.74)

52.76% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Everton 29.93%

Brighton & Hove Albion 45.4%

Draw 24.67%

Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.93%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.4%