FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 5
Brighton

Akpom (13')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gross (8'), Lallana (29'), Mac Allister (58', 80'), Undav (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
39.59% ( 0.02)	25.37% ( -0.01)	35.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

0.03)

47.5% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

0.03)

69.71% (

-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

0.03)

23.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14% (

0.04)

57.87% (

-0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.01)

26.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.01)

61.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 39.59%

Brighton & Hove Albion 35.05%

Draw 25.36%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.59%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.05%