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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Birmingham
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Chong (74')
Bielik (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Howson (15'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Hull City
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Middlesbrough

While it has been proven time and time again that anything can happen in the Championship, Boro have been relentless under Carrick. Despite their recent defeat at Burnley, we expect the visitors to have few issues in registering a win and clean sheet at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
26.87% (-0.134 -0.13) 25.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 47.17% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.064 0.06)53.14% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)74.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)34.72% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)71.45% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (0.105 0.11)22.52% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.157 0.16)56.09% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 26.87%
    Middlesbrough 47.16%
    Draw 25.95%
Birmingham CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Birmingham City
23.4%
Draw
14.1%
Middlesbrough
62.5%
64
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-4
Middlesbrough
Colin (15')
Assombalonga (27'), Saville (31'), Etheridge (56' og.), Wing (82')
(13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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