Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Chong (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Hull City
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Middlesbrough
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.87% ( -0.13)	25.95% ( -0.04)	47.17% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.85% (

0.06)

53.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

0.05)

74.71% (

-0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

-0.07)

34.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55% (

-0.08)

71.45% (

0.08)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

0.11)

22.52% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.9% (

0.16)

56.09% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 26.87%

Middlesbrough 47.16%

Draw 25.95%

Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.87%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.16%