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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forss (46'), McGree (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
31.93% (-0.229 -0.23)25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.4% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.438 -0.44)49.55% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-0.394 -0.39)71.58% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.367 -0.37)29.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.453 -0.45)65.09% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.122 -0.12)23.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.178 -0.18)57.14% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 31.93%
    Middlesbrough 42.4%
    Draw 25.66%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%
Draw
16.7%
Middlesbrough
51.4%
72
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm