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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')
Hyam (90+4')
Buckley (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Hackney (8'), Crooks (49'), Smith (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Middlesbrough

Given Blackburn's continued inconsistency, it is impossible to predict which performance that they will deliver in any particular game. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough are playing to such a high standard under Carrick that we feel that they will edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
31.93% (-0.229 -0.23) 25.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 42.4% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.438 -0.44)49.55% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-0.394 -0.39)71.58% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.367 -0.37)29.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.453 -0.45)65.09% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.122 -0.12)23.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.178 -0.18)57.14% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 31.93%
    Middlesbrough 42.4%
    Draw 25.66%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
31.9%
Draw
16.7%
Middlesbrough
51.4%
72
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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