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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 59.01% ( | 23.83% | 17.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( | 54.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( | 76.17% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% | 18.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% | 49.51% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( | 45.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( | 81.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( 2-0 @ 12% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.07% Total : 58.99% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-2 @ 3.72% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 2-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.15% |