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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 43.62% ( | 26.82% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( | 55.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( | 76.35% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( | 25.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 5% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.56% |