FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
2 - 1
Liverpool

Dunk (39'), Mitoma (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Elliott (30')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp on January 21, 2023

Jurgen Klopp insists Liverpool's performance against Brighton was "much better"

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp says that his side showed a "much better" performance in the FA Cup against Brighton & Hove Albion compared to their Premier League loss.

Jan 29, 18:50

Brighton & Hove Albion's Moises Caicedo pictured training ahead of kickoff on August 7, 2022

Roberto De Zerbi: 'Brighton are ready to go forward without Moises Caicedo'

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Roberto De Zerbi insists that his side are prepared to "go forward" without Arsenal-linked Moises Caicedo.

Jan 29, 17:47

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Liverpool
34.18% ( 0.74)	24.01% ( 0.42)	41.81% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 60.91% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

-1.81)

41.37% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.23% (

-1.86)

63.77% (

1.86)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

-0.44)

23.84% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-0.62)

58.02% (

0.62)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-1.26)

20.01% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78% (

-2.06)

52.21% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 34.18%

Liverpool 41.81%

Draw 24%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.18%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.04% Total : 41.81%