Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Fulham

Isak (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United rose to third in the Premier League table courtesy of a late 1-0 win over a resilient Fulham outfit at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Chelsea
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Fulham
56.53% ( -0.55)	23.78% ( 0.09)	19.69% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

0.2)

51.29% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

0.17)

73.12% (

-0.18)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.13)

17.97% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.19% (

-0.22)

48.81% (

0.21)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.55% (

0.61)

40.44% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.94% (

0.55)

77.05% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 56.52%

Fulham 19.69%

Draw 23.78%

Newcastle United	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 56.52%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.69%