FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
2 - 0
Leeds

Palhinha (21'), Solomon (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Wolves
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
46.27% ( 0.92)	23.86% ( -0.03)	29.86% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

-0.31)

42.43% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

-0.31)

64.84% (

0.31)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

0.25)

18.55% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

0.43)

49.79% (

-0.43)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.73)

26.98% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

-0.97)

62.33% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Fulham 46.27%

Leeds United 29.86%

Draw 23.86%

Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.27%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.86%