FA Cup
Jan 28, 2023 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leslie Adekoya 81' goal
  • goal Jack Harrison 23'
  • goal Junior Firpo 66'
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 68'

Accrington Stanley vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Accrington Stanley 16.86% (+0.09)
Draw 20.39%
Leeds United 62.74% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.45% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.8% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.2% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 36.4% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 63.6% (-0.16)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 37.73% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 25.49% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 74.51% (-0.19)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 87.45% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 12.55% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 61.41% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 38.59% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 16.86%
Draw 20.4%
Leeds United 62.73%
Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 4.67% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.4%
Leeds United
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 7.06% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.66% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.74% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 62.73%

Head to Head

League Cup
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Souleymane Doukara 19' goal
  • Souleymane Doukara 38' goal
  • Souleymane Doukara 51' yellowcard
  • Michael Tonge 52' yellowcard
  • Jason Pearce 71' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Dean Winnard 56'
  • yellowcard Nicky Hunt 74'
  • goal James Gray 84'